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Tuesday, June 18, 2024

Socio-political and socio-economic situation in the Republic of Belarus (June – July 2023)

After a sudden period of illness of Alexander Lukashenko (in May 2023), profound changes took place in Belarus. The undisguised struggle for power between the three main groups surrounded by the President of the Republic of Belarus has ended. The speaker of the upper house of parliament (Chairman of the Council of the Republic of the National Assembly of the Republic of Belarus), Natalya Kochanova, has almost disappeared from the information space. Except for a few routine speeches on the occasion of holidays and a visit to Kyrgyzstan, Kochanova received almost no coverage in news. However, until May 2023, she was very active. Also, other representatives of the “Vitebsk clan” were not active for almost three months, which gave some experts reason to talk about the gradual decline of this elite group in the Belarusian power structure.

In this material, Ascolta traditionally analyses the main events in Belarus, and also determines possible forecasts and trends. In particular, over the past two months, the main changes in the socio-political and socio-economic environment of Belarus were around the following key topics: the deployment of nuclear weapons, the creation of camps for Wagner PMCs, and progress in the formation of the Union State of Russia and Belarus.

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After a sudden period of illness of Alexander Lukashenko (in May 2023), profound changes took place in Belarus. The undisguised struggle for power between the three main groups surrounded by the President of the Republic of Belarus has ended. The speaker of the upper house of parliament (Chairman of the Council of the Republic of the National Assembly of the Republic of Belarus), Natalya Kochanova, has almost disappeared from the information space. Except for a few routine speeches on the occasion of holidays and a visit to Kyrgyzstan, Kochanova received almost no coverage in news. However, until May 2023, she was very active. Also, other representatives of the “Vitebsk clan” were not active for almost three months, which gave some experts reason to talk about the gradual decline of this elite group in the Belarusian power structure.

In this material, Ascolta traditionally analyses the main events in Belarus, and also determines possible forecasts and trends. In particular, over the past two months, the main changes in the socio-political and socio-economic environment of Belarus were around the following key topics: the deployment of nuclear weapons, the creation of camps for Wagner PMCs, and progress in the formation of the Union State of Russia and Belarus.

This Content Is Only For Subscribers

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