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Sunday, October 13, 2024

Russia: weekly report (15.07-21.07)

This report presents key events that had an important impact on political, economic and social processes within Russia.

According to the results of the past week the following trends can be defined in the following thesis:

  • As predicted earlier, the sanctions against Russia still have their negative consequences for the country’s economy, and the bravado “sanctions are not terrible for us” does not work today – the reality still forces the Russian leadership to take steps aimed at preempting crisis phenomena in the economy and in the financial sphere.
  • According to reports from the Federal Security Service (FSB), a series of terrorist acts may take place in Russia in the near future, which, according to Russian security forces, may be organized by members of extremist Islamic organizations of the Wahhabi persuasion. Moreover, the FSB is trying to draw a line between the Wahhabis – Ukrainian military intelligence – Western intelligence services. Therefore, the security agencies in Russia are already working proactively and have been put on full readiness to repel possible threats. 
  • In fact, we can now observe a collective attempt to return to the agenda that was taking shape at the end of 2021, but was never agreed upon during the series of negotiations in January 2022. Undoubtedly, a number of current events are forcing a change in some positions and approaches, but the thesis of the need to form a new world order is becoming louder and more concrete, both in the West, the East or the Global South. 

This digest looks at the following issues that were most relevant to Russia between the 15th and 21st of July:

  1. Economic Affairs Meeting;
  2. Vladimir Putin’s telephone conversation with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud;
  3. Meeting with the permanent members of the Security Council;
  4. Sergey Lavrov’s visit to the United States;
  5. Valery Gerasimov’s visit to the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine;
  6. Visit of a delegation from the Russian Ministry of Defence to North Korea.

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This report presents key events that had an important impact on political, economic and social processes within Russia.

According to the results of the past week the following trends can be defined in the following thesis:

  • As predicted earlier, the sanctions against Russia still have their negative consequences for the country’s economy, and the bravado “sanctions are not terrible for us” does not work today – the reality still forces the Russian leadership to take steps aimed at preempting crisis phenomena in the economy and in the financial sphere.
  • According to reports from the Federal Security Service (FSB), a series of terrorist acts may take place in Russia in the near future, which, according to Russian security forces, may be organized by members of extremist Islamic organizations of the Wahhabi persuasion. Moreover, the FSB is trying to draw a line between the Wahhabis – Ukrainian military intelligence – Western intelligence services. Therefore, the security agencies in Russia are already working proactively and have been put on full readiness to repel possible threats. 
  • In fact, we can now observe a collective attempt to return to the agenda that was taking shape at the end of 2021, but was never agreed upon during the series of negotiations in January 2022. Undoubtedly, a number of current events are forcing a change in some positions and approaches, but the thesis of the need to form a new world order is becoming louder and more concrete, both in the West, the East or the Global South. 

This digest looks at the following issues that were most relevant to Russia between the 15th and 21st of July:

  1. Economic Affairs Meeting;
  2. Vladimir Putin’s telephone conversation with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud;
  3. Meeting with the permanent members of the Security Council;
  4. Sergey Lavrov’s visit to the United States;
  5. Valery Gerasimov’s visit to the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine;
  6. Visit of a delegation from the Russian Ministry of Defence to North Korea.

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