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Sunday, October 13, 2024

Strange manoeuvres of Alexander Lukashenko

This year Alexander Lukashenko celebrated his 30th anniversary in power. On 10 July 1994, he won his first presidential election in Belarus. Taking into account the referendums of 1995 and 1996, which actually cancelled the separation of powers, Belarus has been under the leadership of a permanent president for thirty years. 

It is noteworthy that it was in the year of his thirtieth anniversary that Lukashenko said that he was preparing the population for his departure from the post of the head of state: ‘Everybody thinks so: 30 years is a lot, it’s crazy. There are only a few people who have been working for 30 years. And people have got used to it: here he is and no one else. This is wrong. I am preparing people for this (leaving the post of president): I don’t want there to be any disappointment or failure’. 

It should be said that it’s not the first time Alexander Lukashenko talks about the possibility of his resignation from the presidency. For example, back in 2019, he mentioned that he would not hold on to power with ‘blue fingers.’ In April this year, he said that he would leave his post only if the people asked him to do so, and there would be a worthy successor who would not betray him. This time his words, uttered in a recent interview, where he once again touched upon the topic of his possible resignation from the post of the head of state, raised many questions and heated discussion.

Of course, only time will show how seriously he takes the topic of his resignation and how it will affect the future of Belarus. But the fact remains that Lukashenko’s words have once again apalled not only the public of Belarus and caused a lot of versions about the prospects of his political regime.

In this piece Ascolta analyses the current domestic political situation in Belarus, especially against the background of gradual preparations for the upcoming presidential elections, which, according to our information, may take place in February-March 2025. 

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This year Alexander Lukashenko celebrated his 30th anniversary in power. On 10 July 1994, he won his first presidential election in Belarus. Taking into account the referendums of 1995 and 1996, which actually cancelled the separation of powers, Belarus has been under the leadership of a permanent president for thirty years. 

It is noteworthy that it was in the year of his thirtieth anniversary that Lukashenko said that he was preparing the population for his departure from the post of the head of state: ‘Everybody thinks so: 30 years is a lot, it’s crazy. There are only a few people who have been working for 30 years. And people have got used to it: here he is and no one else. This is wrong. I am preparing people for this (leaving the post of president): I don’t want there to be any disappointment or failure’. 

It should be said that it’s not the first time Alexander Lukashenko talks about the possibility of his resignation from the presidency. For example, back in 2019, he mentioned that he would not hold on to power with ‘blue fingers.’ In April this year, he said that he would leave his post only if the people asked him to do so, and there would be a worthy successor who would not betray him. This time his words, uttered in a recent interview, where he once again touched upon the topic of his possible resignation from the post of the head of state, raised many questions and heated discussion.

Of course, only time will show how seriously he takes the topic of his resignation and how it will affect the future of Belarus. But the fact remains that Lukashenko’s words have once again apalled not only the public of Belarus and caused a lot of versions about the prospects of his political regime.

In this piece Ascolta analyses the current domestic political situation in Belarus, especially against the background of gradual preparations for the upcoming presidential elections, which, according to our information, may take place in February-March 2025. 

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