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Sunday, October 13, 2024

Russia: weekly report (12.08-18.08)

This report presents key events that had an important impact on political, economic and social processes within Russia.

According to the results of the past week the following tendencies can be defined in the following theses:

  • Putin has increasingly demonstrated that Russia sides with Palestine in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. This originally stemmed from the “Primakov Doctrine,” of which Yuri Ushakov, an aide to the Russian president, is a follower and adherent. The doctrine anticipates maximum reliance on the Arab factor in the Middle East. Russia has consistently demanded that Israel comply with a UN Security Council resolution that emphasizes the need for a Palestinian state, but the resolution is ignored by Israel, which for decades has relied on U.S. support.
  • Uzbekistan is gradually turning into Russia’s main ally in Central Asia. This is causing serious irritation to neighboring states, primarily Kazakhstan and, to a lesser extent, China. But Uzbekistan is extremely important to Putin strategically (as he constantly emphasizes), and Russia is important to Uzbekistan itself – including for promoting its interests beyond the region.
  • Over the past two years, Putin has been demonstratively developing relations with Azerbaijan, which is not a member of the CSTO (unlike Armenia). But at the same time Putin makes it clear that interaction in oil and gas, logistics and other spheres with Baku, not Yerevan, gives him great advantages. The CSTO is essentially a dead structure, and Russia needs living forms. Contacts with Baku simultaneously serve to strengthen relations between Moscow and Ankara: Azerbaijan is Turkiye’s political satellite and partner.

This digest looks at the following issues that were most relevant to Russia between August 12th and 18th:

  1. Vladimir Putin’s operative meeting on the situation in Russia’s regions bordering Ukraine;
  2. Russian-Palestinian talks;
  3. A telephone conversation between Vladimir Putin and Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev;
  4. Meeting with the permanent members of the Security Council;
  5. Vladimir Putin’s visit to Azerbaijan;
  6. Serbian Deputy Prime Minister Aleksandar Vulin’s visit to Moscow.

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This report presents key events that had an important impact on political, economic and social processes within Russia.

According to the results of the past week the following tendencies can be defined in the following theses:

  • Putin has increasingly demonstrated that Russia sides with Palestine in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. This originally stemmed from the “Primakov Doctrine,” of which Yuri Ushakov, an aide to the Russian president, is a follower and adherent. The doctrine anticipates maximum reliance on the Arab factor in the Middle East. Russia has consistently demanded that Israel comply with a UN Security Council resolution that emphasizes the need for a Palestinian state, but the resolution is ignored by Israel, which for decades has relied on U.S. support.
  • Uzbekistan is gradually turning into Russia’s main ally in Central Asia. This is causing serious irritation to neighboring states, primarily Kazakhstan and, to a lesser extent, China. But Uzbekistan is extremely important to Putin strategically (as he constantly emphasizes), and Russia is important to Uzbekistan itself – including for promoting its interests beyond the region.
  • Over the past two years, Putin has been demonstratively developing relations with Azerbaijan, which is not a member of the CSTO (unlike Armenia). But at the same time Putin makes it clear that interaction in oil and gas, logistics and other spheres with Baku, not Yerevan, gives him great advantages. The CSTO is essentially a dead structure, and Russia needs living forms. Contacts with Baku simultaneously serve to strengthen relations between Moscow and Ankara: Azerbaijan is Turkiye’s political satellite and partner.

This digest looks at the following issues that were most relevant to Russia between August 12th and 18th:

  1. Vladimir Putin’s operative meeting on the situation in Russia’s regions bordering Ukraine;
  2. Russian-Palestinian talks;
  3. A telephone conversation between Vladimir Putin and Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev;
  4. Meeting with the permanent members of the Security Council;
  5. Vladimir Putin’s visit to Azerbaijan;
  6. Serbian Deputy Prime Minister Aleksandar Vulin’s visit to Moscow.

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