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Thursday, February 29, 2024

Russia: Weekly Report (20.11-26.11)

This report describes the key events that significantly impacted Russia’s political, economic, and social processes.

Based on the results of the past week, the following trends can be summarised:

  • Russia is once again sending a signal of readiness for negotiations. The fact that neither Xi Jinping nor Biden were present during Putin’s speech rather indicates that the leaders of the world’s largest states, having met in San Francisco, agreed on a position regarding Ukraine and Russia and conveyed this position to the leaders of the opposing states, and now took a wait-and-see approach, allowing Vladimir Putin and Vladimir Zelensky to demonstrate their positions.
  • Russia’s position on the situation in the Middle East remains unchanged: it continues to try to play the role of an “outsourced peacemaker”; it continues to insist on the implementation of the Norwegian agreements regarding the creation of a Palestinian state. By and large, Russia has little influence on the situation, but in propaganda and ideological terms, it is trying to get the most out of the problem.
  • According to available information, at a meeting of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, questions were raised regarding possible personnel rotations and reshuffles in the system of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. In particular, several ambassadors may be replaced (including the ambassador to the United States), as well as changes in the leadership structure of the Foreign Ministry. In addition, the personal composition of the delegation for negotiations with the US State Department, which will take place on December 10, was considered.

This report highlights the following topics that were most relevant for Russia during 20th – 26th November:

1. Negotiations between Vladimir Putin and the President of Tajikistan Emomali Rahmon;

2. Participation of Vladimir Putin in the extraordinary BRICS summit;

3. Participation of Vladimir Putin in the extraordinary G20 summit;

4. CSTO summit in Minsk;

5. Meeting with permanent members of the Security Council of the Russian Federation;

6. Vyacheslav Volodin’s visit to China.

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This report describes the key events that significantly impacted Russia’s political, economic, and social processes.

Based on the results of the past week, the following trends can be summarised:

  • Russia is once again sending a signal of readiness for negotiations. The fact that neither Xi Jinping nor Biden were present during Putin’s speech rather indicates that the leaders of the world’s largest states, having met in San Francisco, agreed on a position regarding Ukraine and Russia and conveyed this position to the leaders of the opposing states, and now took a wait-and-see approach, allowing Vladimir Putin and Vladimir Zelensky to demonstrate their positions.
  • Russia’s position on the situation in the Middle East remains unchanged: it continues to try to play the role of an “outsourced peacemaker”; it continues to insist on the implementation of the Norwegian agreements regarding the creation of a Palestinian state. By and large, Russia has little influence on the situation, but in propaganda and ideological terms, it is trying to get the most out of the problem.
  • According to available information, at a meeting of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, questions were raised regarding possible personnel rotations and reshuffles in the system of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. In particular, several ambassadors may be replaced (including the ambassador to the United States), as well as changes in the leadership structure of the Foreign Ministry. In addition, the personal composition of the delegation for negotiations with the US State Department, which will take place on December 10, was considered.

This report highlights the following topics that were most relevant for Russia during 20th – 26th November:

1. Negotiations between Vladimir Putin and the President of Tajikistan Emomali Rahmon;

2. Participation of Vladimir Putin in the extraordinary BRICS summit;

3. Participation of Vladimir Putin in the extraordinary G20 summit;

4. CSTO summit in Minsk;

5. Meeting with permanent members of the Security Council of the Russian Federation;

6. Vyacheslav Volodin’s visit to China.

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