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Russia: Weekly Report (13.11-19.11)

This report describes the key events that significantly impacted Russia’s political, economic, and social processes.

Based on the results of the past week, the following trends can be summarised:

  • Despite the absence of an official nomination of Putin’s candidacy for the presidential elections, his election campaign began in mid-summer. The number of forums and other similar formats of public meetings at which Putin makes presentations and conducts discussions has recently gone through the roof. This approach demonstrates two main factors. Firstly, Putin is trying in every possible way to show that he is not isolated from the outside world and can even meet with European or Western politicians. Secondly, he gradually becomes a showman who spends all his free time on public discussions and outright populism. Thus, he begins to imitate Donald Trump, who also prefers public speaking and loud statements.
  • Many expected that within the framework of the APEC summit, the leaders of China and the United States would be able to agree on a shared vision of the issues of the two most pressing “hot spots” – Ukraine and the Middle East. China could (theoretically) influence Russia, and the United States could influence Ukraine, pushing the parties to negotiate. However, this apparently did not happen. In any case, the non-inclusion of the issues of Ukraine and the Middle East in the final declaration does not mean that the parties are inclined to deepen confrontation. There is hope that a four-hour personal meeting between Xi Jinping and Joe Biden could mark the beginning of more dynamic work towards a peaceful resolution of controversial and hot issues.
  • Russia decided to use against Finland the practice tested in Belarus two years ago, when the Belarusian authorities, in every possible way, encouraged illegal migrants from Kurdistan and the Middle East to storm the Polish and Lithuanian border, creating increased nervousness among the border guards of Poland and Lithuania. Thus, Russia decided to punish Finland, which not only took a principled position on issues of Russian aggression against Ukraine but also joined NATO.

This report highlights the following topics that were most relevant for Russia during 13th-19th of November:

1. Meeting of Vladimir Putin with representatives of Russian election commissions;

2. Plenary session of the Forum of United Cultures;

3. The Golden Gate Declaration of APEC 2023 Economic Leaders;

4. Vladimir Putin’s meeting with permanent members of the Security Council;

5. Appointment of Andrei Yarin as head of the prospective Kremlin’s candidate election headquarters;

6. The situation on the Russian-Finnish border.

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This report describes the key events that significantly impacted Russia’s political, economic, and social processes.

Based on the results of the past week, the following trends can be summarised:

  • Despite the absence of an official nomination of Putin’s candidacy for the presidential elections, his election campaign began in mid-summer. The number of forums and other similar formats of public meetings at which Putin makes presentations and conducts discussions has recently gone through the roof. This approach demonstrates two main factors. Firstly, Putin is trying in every possible way to show that he is not isolated from the outside world and can even meet with European or Western politicians. Secondly, he gradually becomes a showman who spends all his free time on public discussions and outright populism. Thus, he begins to imitate Donald Trump, who also prefers public speaking and loud statements.
  • Many expected that within the framework of the APEC summit, the leaders of China and the United States would be able to agree on a shared vision of the issues of the two most pressing “hot spots” – Ukraine and the Middle East. China could (theoretically) influence Russia, and the United States could influence Ukraine, pushing the parties to negotiate. However, this apparently did not happen. In any case, the non-inclusion of the issues of Ukraine and the Middle East in the final declaration does not mean that the parties are inclined to deepen confrontation. There is hope that a four-hour personal meeting between Xi Jinping and Joe Biden could mark the beginning of more dynamic work towards a peaceful resolution of controversial and hot issues.
  • Russia decided to use against Finland the practice tested in Belarus two years ago, when the Belarusian authorities, in every possible way, encouraged illegal migrants from Kurdistan and the Middle East to storm the Polish and Lithuanian border, creating increased nervousness among the border guards of Poland and Lithuania. Thus, Russia decided to punish Finland, which not only took a principled position on issues of Russian aggression against Ukraine but also joined NATO.

This report highlights the following topics that were most relevant for Russia during 13th-19th of November:

1. Meeting of Vladimir Putin with representatives of Russian election commissions;

2. Plenary session of the Forum of United Cultures;

3. The Golden Gate Declaration of APEC 2023 Economic Leaders;

4. Vladimir Putin’s meeting with permanent members of the Security Council;

5. Appointment of Andrei Yarin as head of the prospective Kremlin’s candidate election headquarters;

6. The situation on the Russian-Finnish border.

This Content Is Only For Subscribers

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